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Before we dive into SLR models (Simple linear regression models) there are a few things we have to discuss and explain.
1) What are dependent and independent variables
2) What is a "Time series"?
3) What is seasonality?
4) What's a trend?
5) What are residuals?
6) What's a random walk? or what is a white noise?
7) What's cyclicality?
Of course we will briefly explain what a p value is and how you have to interpret the out put of a regression. Once we are this far that we have explained all the rules and concepts of a simple linear regression then we will show how to forecast with a SLR model. Remember always to have enough data in order to make a regression. The more data the better the quality, well in most cases.
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We will continue with the 7 main concepts this week and by the end of next week we will be touching up on forecasting (if everything goes according to schedule).