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Ways to time the top
* Different ta/fa/sentiment analysis ppl are using
* Google searches
* Number of days after halving (halving to peak analysis)
* Pi cycle
* 2 year moving average
* Bitcoin Rainbow bands
* Unrealised profit and loss vs actual Bitcoin price
* Puell multiple
* MVRV Z-Score
* RHODL Ratio
* Reserve Risk
* Woobull’s indicators (on-chain data)
* Hyperinflation fears
* Stablecoin regulation fears
* Maybe mention our model
* Weiss timing model (pure price data)
* Talk about how difficult it is to time it
* Usual mistakes people make like buying in denial phase or in bear trap
* Aka dead cat bounce or relief rally
* Talk about the most mentioned targets for BTC and ETH
* Plan B’s stock to flow model for Bitcoin
* Has us at $107k
* Cross-asset model has us at $255k
* WCP has a price target for ETH of at least $10k
* Since the top cannot be time exactly (analysis), what about an exit plan (strategy)?
* Scaling out i.e. selling into strength and lading out
* Can be done subjectively as data comes in
* Can be done objectively by placing limit orders at various price levels then walking away
▶️ 3Speak