Generally what people see as some sort of archaic technique is really just math, plain and simple. If some people assign a special value to that math....well that's up to them. But just because the number 7 is seen as lucky, and the number 7 appears in your formula, doens't necessarily mean that you believe anything further than the fact that the number 7 appears and works in your formula. I know what and who you are referencing.....just clarifying that those of us that see what's called the "golden ratio" in charts doesn't mean we named it the "golden ratio" or put it there because it's supposed to be magical....it comes in a way that is much more organic than that. Something more like..."hmm...well holy shit...that's weird, the fibonacci ratio seems to keep repeating itself in this situation.....hmmmmm....."
And just from my personal side of things, there is no good analyst that thinks they are correct all the time, or that any ONE formula solves any or all situations. The idea is to be as aware as possible, based on pattern recognition, and in some cases, whatever other techniques used (personally I find elliott wave to be the most accurate). And being aware means that you are never certain, it is always evolving, and you are always preparing for multiple possibilities while trying to nail down the 2 or 3 most probable of the possible.
Just as an example....this is from yesterday, an an analyst here. If you were new to investing, and especially if new to crypto investing....this kind of accuracy is account saving....
Monday Night/Tuesday Morning:
[IMAGE: https://steemitimages.com/DQmebRnifstp7djYPkEMpXNyzqNccGUAvbhddSDUqfm6yxx/tuesmorn.png]
Price action through the day:
[IMAGE: https://steemitimages.com/DQmWhiHpKv1jXEmNtD2i8RAv78nUMe7fNXfx1sm2j7cKojV/tueseve.png]
Coming in green you might have bought on that rise, not knowing that a correction is about to ensue....then in a panic, you sell at about a $1000/coin loss. However....awareness of the probable pathway would allow you to relax through the correction knowing it will more than likely continue to follow the laid out pathway based on its current accuracy. Or even better than relaxing through it, wait for a low and buy. How else would you know that correction was coming, or that bounce was coming? Guessing is as good as guessing is in a situation that has 36 retracing possibilities (literally). That's where experience comes into play....and that's why this particular analyst is able to lay out the days price action before it happens. And of course he's not correct every time, but he is very very good, and very very accurate due to experience.
It's a tool to be used, and when gambling as you say, and not incorrectly, you want to use the best strategy or tool available.
If being successful in the markets were as rare as winning the lottery, I would be more with ya, but it's shown over and over throughout time that certain people or strategies have their finger on the pulse....at least for a that time period. Nothing is static, and all analysis must adapt. Thanks for engaging, I realized how old this post was after I posted the last comment.