Currently both are equally possible
https://ibb.co/eCdf4S
[IMAGE: https://steemitimages.com/DQma1rqnKTvaMNxa44KaU9ZTdpXhdeetUu1dHMTpkP6KU4F/BTC.png]
https://ibb.co/mJZsJn
[IMAGE: https://steemitimages.com/DQmUhnVuyLGaogBTPe3zqH79Eg2iP41M7VD3TdA8dVknwVU/BTCUSD240_csv.png]
For certainty we need a daily close either above $9923 or below $8943 (Bitfinex pricing) to continue to respective volatility implied targets.
https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/8653155/btcusd-d1-jafx-ltd
https://charts.mql5.com/18/220/btcusd-d1-jafx-ltd.png